Friday, December 28, 2012

NOV-DEC WRAP UP




As the year comes to a close we are finally seeing the Oscar picture come into focus.  The Golden Globe nominees (http://www.goldenglobes.org/2012/12/nominations-2013) showed little to no surprises, and although they separate films into two categories: Drama or Comedy/Musical, they are usually a good indicator of how the Oscar nominations will break.  The Drama category usually holds a little more weight, and for those looking for nom expectations that’s where you should turn.  The Academy is doing things a little different this year and the Oscar nominations will actually be decided before the Globes telecast.  Nonetheless here are the films seen in the past six weeks or so and their Oscar hopes:

‘Life of Pi’: More of a director’s piece than anything, ‘Pi’ will certainly get attention for world-class director Ang Lee and see support in technical categories for its visual brilliance.  A Best Picture nom isn’t unforeseeable and a Best Actor nomination for Suraj Sharma would be well deserved but a bit of a surprise considering the field.

‘Flight’: It wasn’t expected to make much noise, again due to the extremely deep field this year, and it didn’t.  Zemeckis’, director of ‘Forrest Gump’, first live action picture since ‘Cast Away’ (2000) was largely uneven and its main character’s climatic revelation seemed uninspired.  However Denzel Washington gave a gritty performance as per usual and a Best Actor nomination is not out of the question.

‘The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey’: What was thought to be the must see film this holiday season turned out to be a dud, both critically and commercially (brought home a respectable $86 million the first weekend but in comparison to the LOTR trilogy it was a major letdown).  It could see some nominations in tech categories like sound and make-up and although McKellen and Freeman give strong performances as Gandolf and Bilbo, the film may prove to be too much of a flop to compete in the ultra-competitive Best Supporting and Best Actor categories.

The Current Frontrunners: ‘Lincoln’ and ‘Zero Dark Thirty’ will be going head to head in nearly every major category and each should garner at least two acting nominations each as well.  ‘Argo’, although an incredibly well received film by critics, is losing steam and seems to be suffering from too early of a release date.  Films that will still have plenty of nominations but might not have as high of expectations as ‘Lincoln’ and ‘ZDT’ are: ‘Silver Linings Playbook’, ‘The Master’, ‘Django Unchained’, and ‘Les Miserables’.

Full reviews are still to come for ‘Django’ and ‘Zero Dark Thirty’ (after I’ve seen it) and ‘Les Miserables’ may or may not have enough clout to warrant a full post, if not it will be included in a wrap up.

Almost all of the contenders have been seen by critics, and after the Oscar nominations (Jan. 10th) and the Golden Globe winners (Jan. 13th) are announced, predictions in every category will be much easier to examine.  Stay tuned.

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