Sunday, September 9, 2012

TELLURIDE SCREENINGS: OSCAR CHANCES




TFF has a history of previewing some of each year’s Oscar favorites, last year for example had ‘The Artist’, ‘The Descendants’,  ‘A Dangerous Method’, and ‘Albert Nobbs’, needless to say I was on the lookout last weekend for this season’s frontrunners.  Unlike recent years however there was a smaller sample size of films with expansive Oscar hopes, unless we are talking about best Foreign Language Film.

There were at least three films in Telluride that have great chances in the Foreign Language category, two I saw, ‘Rust and Bone’ (France) and ‘The Hunt’ (Denmark), and one I was shut out of, ‘Amour’ (Germany, Austria, France collaboration, won Cannes).  Unfortunately with great foreign films there isn’t much need to delve into specific elements of their makeup, the category is simply judged by the film as a whole. 

It is unfortunate that foreign films don’t get as much pull in the other major categories, other than the occasional acting nomination which comes every few years, foreign films are rarely recognized for their screenplays or technical aspects.  Mads Mikkelsen (‘Casino Royale’) has an outside chance at a Best Actor nomination depending on how strong the field is, simply because he was recognized at Cannes.  Unfortunately he will most likely be overshadowed by less powerful roles in English speaking films.  I’d also venture to say if ‘The Hunt’ was an American adaptation we could also be looking at noms for screenplay and cinematography.

As stated before, multiple larger Hollywood productions that show in Telluride can sometimes garner a large number of nominations.  This year however I can only see one film with such potential, ‘Argo’.  Ben Affleck’s latest directorial effort sees him break away from his Boston safety net (‘Gone Baby Gone’ and ‘The Town’) to tackle a film with a much larger scope.  Based on a real declassified mission, ‘Argo’ is the story of the rescue of six Americans working at the United States Embassy in Tehran during the Iran hostage crisis of 1979.  Affleck stars and directs while Chris Terrio wrote the screenplay.

The nom chances; although the acting is top notch at all levels the film plays more as a tense thriller than something that lends itself to showcase dramatic range.  On the whole it is very much an ensemble piece with no one actor afforded enough screen time to steal the show.  Aside from the lack of a strong possibility for an acting nom, ‘Argo’ can expect a handful of nominations in other categories.  I think this is Affleck’s time to be recognized for his ability as a director, I thought there was a chance for ‘The Town’ but the Academy usually makes directors/writers/actors establish themselves with a few strong efforts before being recognized, pay their dues so to speak.  The other strong possibilities include: Best Picture, Best Original Screenplay, Best Editing, and Best Cinematography.

The only other film with Oscar hopes coming out of Telluride was ‘Hyde Park on Hudson’.  Starring Bill Murray as Franklin D. Roosevelt, ‘Hyde’ depicts King George VI and Queen Consort Elizabeth’s visit to FDR’s Hyde Park country estate in the months leading up to the start of WWII.  Early buzz has Murray as a possibility for Best Actor and Laura Linney, playing FDR’s distant cousin and mistress Margaret Suckley, as Best or Best Supporting Actress.  Due to it being a period piece there’s always a chance for Costume Design as well.  I didn’t have a chance to see it in Telluride so more to come after its release later this fall.

Stay tuned, lots of Oscar analysis to come!

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